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Good morning!
What a week of news we have coming up (and that’s just based on what we know!).
On Tuesday, the RBA will hand down its next cash rate decision, with many economists predicting another rate rise. It’s a public holiday in Victoria, to mark the Melbourne Cup.
On Wednesday, we’ll be watching how the U.S. votes in the 2026 midterms (and we’ve got Billi and Orla on the ground for you in Michigan to watch it all go down).
Then we’ve got the New Zealand national election next Saturday, and the COP31 Climate Conference a few days later.
Just a small week then!


I’ve got 10 seconds
The quote: “Any level or type of threat must be met with an immediate, impactful, and geographically unrestricted response.”
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, in a new statement posted on his official Telegram account. U.S. and Iranian negotiators held talks over the weekend, as anticipation over the resumption of U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran after the upcoming U.S. midterm elections grows.
The stat: 75%. The estimated percentage of NFL players who died between 2008 and 2023 who had chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE), according to a new study. The degenerative brain disease is linked to head knocks and can only be diagnosed after death.
The big question:
Will you watch the Melbourne Cup tomorrow?
Friday’s results: 75% of you didn’t celebrate Halloween on the weekend, while 25% did. Thanks for voting - your responses inform TDA's journalism and research. [2,341 votes].

I’ve got 30 seconds
Some headlines from this morning:
The world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance, has refunded 90% of the $9b (U.S. $6.3b) stolen in a cyberattack that it and the FBI say North Korea initiated. Binance is a marketplace for a large range of digital coins, such as Bitcoin, with an estimated 320 million users globally. After Friday’s hack, the company halted withdrawals but said it will resume shortly after it refunds the remaining 10% of stolen funds. It is thought to be the largest crypto heist in history, almost doubling a 2020 incident where U.S.$3.5b of Bitcoin was stolen.
Erin Patterson has lost her appeal against her murder convictions and instead been re-sentenced to life behind bars without the possibility of parole. Patterson was convicted of murdering three people and attempting to murder a fourth by serving them a meal containing poisonous death cap mushrooms. A panel of judges dismissed her challenge and upheld prosecutors’ appeal against her original 33-year non-parole period. The judges said Patterson’s actions were “extraordinarily cold and calculated” and must be “denounced in the strongest terms”. Patterson’s last avenue is to apply for the High Court to hear her appeal. If it refuses, she will have no more opportunities to appeal.
Together with AAP.

Recommendation of the day
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I’ve got 1 minute

The Government has released its yearly list of jobs employers are struggling to fill.
Technician and trade worker jobs were the most likely to be in shortage, as well as nurses and early childhood teachers.
Overall, however, the total number of jobs in shortage has fallen three years in a row.
So which jobs are in shortage?
And does this list help decide who is able to migrate to Australia?
Here’s what you need to know.
Background
Every year the Government’s jobs agency, Jobs and Skills Australia (JSA), analyses which jobs are going unfilled.
It looks at how many vacancies are filled, how long they take to fill and how many qualified people apply.
A job is considered to be in shortage if fewer than two thirds of vacancies get filled.
Governments, training providers and industry groups use the data to decide how to allocate money for training and workforce support.
2026
This year, 27% of the 1,021 occupations assessed were considered to be in a shortage. That’s down from 29% last year and a peak of 36% in 2023.
JSA says the fall fits with a cooling job market.
The unemployment rate is slightly higher than a year ago, so employers may find it easier to fill roles.
Trades are the most affected, with 48% of trade and technician jobs in shortage. That includes electricians, plumbers, carpenters, and mechanics.
More than a third (37%) of “professional” jobs are in shortage too, including registered nurses, GPs, psychologists and pilots.
Newly in shortage: swimming coaches, anaesthetists, tow truck drivers, tyre fitters, signwriters and air traffic controllers.
No longer in shortage: school principals, actors, train drivers and accountants.
Why
The most common reason employers gave JSA is that applicants aren’t suitable, often because they lack experience.
For registered nurses, 63% of employers said applicants lacked experience.
The agency also says entry-level workers are finding it harder to land jobs to develop their experience.
Migration
The JSA also advises the Government on the list of jobs where employers can sponsor overseas workers. It’s called the Core Skills Occupation List.
The shortage list is one of two main things the agency looks at when deciding which jobs to recommend. The other is a wider mix of economic data and feedback from industry.
A Home Affairs spokesperson told TDA the list is “designed to complement the skills of the existing Australian workforce and meet changing workforce needs.”
Reporting by Elliot Lawry.

Quick hits
🎧 On today’s TDA podcast, we’re talking about why uni graduates are struggling to find work. Listen or watch on Apple here, Spotify here, or YouTube here.
🎾 Sport is for everyone. Sign up to TDA Sport here for a full run-down in your inbox at 4.30pm.

I’ve got 2 minutes

Almost half of young Australian men believe people cannot freely express their political opinions, according to new research.
The 2026 McKinnon Index also found more than a quarter of men aged 18–24 believe violence can sometimes be justified to advance a cause.
The findings come as almost three-quarters of young men and women say Australia has become more divided over the past year.
Here’s what else the research found.
Background
The McKinnon Index was first published in 2025 as an annual snapshot of Australia’s democratic health.
It measures public trust in politicians and government, how effectively the political system works and how Australians feel about participating in democracy.
The research is conducted by market researcher Roy Morgan, which surveyed 4,273 Australians aged 18 and over between June 19 and July 21 this year.
*The survey was conducted before the alleged attack on independent MP Helen Haines.
Findings
The Index covers trust in politicians, confidence in democracy and attitudes towards political expression.
McKinnon Executive Director of Democracy Tom Mooney said the findings around young men should be taken seriously, adding: “Every Australian should want to understand why and help turn it around.”
Key findings:
“Violence can sometimes be justified to advance a cause I care about.”
16.9% of young women and 27.5% of young men agree.
“I am confident I understand how democracy works.”
65.5% of young men and 52.4% of young women agree, compared to the national average of 74.1%.
“Australia is more divided than 12 months ago.”
58.7% of 18 to 24-year-olds agree, compared to the national average of 74.4%.
“People can freely express political opinions in Australia.”
Of men aged 18 to 24 years-old, 49.8% agreed this year, compared to 72.6% last year.
Experts
TDA spoke to University of Sydney Professor Susan Heward-Belle, a leading researcher in domestic and family violence, about why young men are more likely than older Australians to believe violence can sometimes be justified.
“We can’t negate that really toxic influence of the online environment,” she said.
Heward-Belle said social media algorithms can repeatedly feed users content that promotes violence, potentially reinforcing those views.
UNSW Professor Gabriele Gratton said the findings reflect a broader global trend, with young people in established democracies increasingly questioning whether political systems can deliver for them.
“Young voters across established democracies are trusting less that democracy is a system of government that can deliver for them what it promises to deliver,” he said.
Gratton said it was “not hard to imagine” that young men and women were worried about an uncertain future and were “progressively losing faith in these institutions”.
Reporting by Emily Donohoe.

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Give me some good news

A surgeon has removed a man’s cancerous prostate while sitting in a different hospital, in the first known robotic telesurgery between two U.S. locations.
Florida surgeon Dr Vipul Patel was 56 kilometres away from his patient when he performed the successful procedure on Sunday. A second surgeon was at the bedside of the 66-year-old man in case anything went wrong, and the hospital says the patient is doing well after the surgery.
Reporting by Emma Gillespie.

TDA titbit

Remember the Dan Sullivan(s) competing against each other in the U.S. state of Alaska at the upcoming midterms? (Republican senator Dan S. Sullivan is fighting for re-election against Democrat Mary Peltola… and Dan J. Sullivan.)
Well, The New York Times has now alleged that Peltola’s office deliberately tried to convince multiple Dan Sullivans to run and even spent months recruiting candidates to draw votes away from the Republican Dan S. Sullivan.
Both Dan S. and Dan J. advanced to the general election after securing enough votes in earlier rounds.
Reporting by Pavitra Ravi.

TDA asks




